Additional Resources. The average maximum temperature was68F warmer than normal for this location. One of the most devastating droughts in Texas' modern history occurred from 1950 to 1957. Nearly 40 percent of the state remains vulnerable to drought in the coming weeks. Current Texas Drought Conditions. There is an 60%70% chanceof below-normal precipitation during this period. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 95% to 98% of past conditions. Learn more about these categories. In temperate regions (above 30 north latitude), long-range forecasts have limited reliability. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is below 0F. According to the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center, over the next 5 days(July 20 24, 2023) moderate to heavy precipitation is expected across parts of the central and southern High Plains from central New Mexico northward into southeast Wyoming, and eastward across western Kansas, the Oklahoma Panhandle, and adjacent locales. The only comparable drought occurred during the drought of record during the 1950s. View typical impacts by state. To view a more complete record, and to filter impacts by drought severity, sector and season, check out the interactive State Impacts Tool. The .gov means its official. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between3040F. Many different datasets and maps are available that predict how precipitation and temperature may change in the future. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between greater than 100F. Every Thursday, authors from NOAA, USDA, and the National Drought Mitigation Center produce a new map based on their assessments of the best available data and input from local observers. Pivotal Weather Houston could see record-tying or even record-breaking heat Tuesday under the full effect of the heat dome that first appeared. Drought Persists The Climate Prediction Center updates their 610 day outlooks daily. "West Texas seems most likely to get a double whammy: decreased rainfall and increased. Precipitation was 50% to 75% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. Climate Prediction Center: Seasonal Drought Outlook US heat wave forecast updates: Deaths in Arizona, August outlook The average maximum temperature was13F colder than normal for this location. Here's what you need to know about the heat wave gripping Texas Severe Weather Outlook For Texas - National Weather Service Crop Moisture Index (Weekly) Keetch-Byram Drought Index (Daily) Palmer Drought Severity Index (Monthly) Palmer Drought Severity Index (Weekly) Palmer Hydrological Drought Index (Monthly) Palmer "Z" Index (Monthly) Modified Palmer Drought Severity Index (Monthly) The state's. Estimated streamflow is the highest value ever measured at this gauge on this day of the year. W4 (SPI of 2.0 or more) Interactive Forecast Map; Past Year Forecasts; Drought Index. Extreme Drought (95th98th Percentile) Reach out to Joel Lisonbee, the Regional Drought Coordinator for this region, for more information, or sign up for the Southern Plains DEWS newsletter. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. According to these indices, current conditions are drier than 95% to 98% of past conditions. Learn more about these categories. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Exceptional Drought (D4) is the most intense drought category, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. View typical impacts by state. Learn more about these categories. The average maximum temperature was 13F colder than normal for this location. Unusually high evaporative demand can lead to moisture stress on the land surface, and ultimately to droughteven when precipitation has been near normal. This location received 24 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. There is an 33%40% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period. 33%40% Chance of Above Normal Compared to "normal" conditions, evaporative demand is forecast to be greater than 98% to 100% of historical values. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. According to the weekly U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM), as of April 4, 2023, 28.23% of the contiguous U.S. (CONUS) ( 23.63% of the U.S. including Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico) was classified as experiencing moderate to exceptional (D1-D4) drought. The PMDI value for this location is 5.0 or greater, indicating exceptional wet (W4) conditions. Odds favor near-normal precipitation during this period. From July 1822, the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center favorsabove normal temperatures for almost all of the contiguous states and Alaska, except in the Pacific Northwest. Red and orange hues indicate drier soils, while greens and blues indicate greater soil moisture. Drought Alert Emails There is an 60%70% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period. 50%60% Chance of Below Normal EDDI subseasonal forecasts are updated daily, with a delay of several days. Intense Drought Conditions Could Make This Summer One - Texas A&M Today The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between 1020F. Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom 10% to 20% of historical values (i.e., only 10%20% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). Learn more about these categories. Precipitation was 50% to 75% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. 75%100% of Normal This location received46 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. There is an 33%40% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 10thto 20th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. total precipitation Increase of 0.83 in. In the last week, drought was eliminated from the Panhandle but re-emerged in South Texas and expanded in other parts of the state. Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom0%to 2% of historical values (i.e., less than 2% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center. The 9-month Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is -2.0 or less, indicating exceptional drought (D4) conditions. 7/21 7/22 5 AM 11 AM. For example, the 20102015 Southern Plains drought had far-reaching impacts across economic sectors. Extreme Wet (2nd5th Percentile) The average maximum temperature was 46F colder than normal for this location. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between 1.3 to 1.5, indicating severe wet (W2) conditions. Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom 0% to 2% of historical values (i.e., less than 2% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). Learn more about these categories. NIDIS & its partners issue regional updates covering drought conditions, outlooks/forecasts, and local impacts. The seasonal drought outlook for July - September 2023 is based on official forecasts at various time scales, climatology, and an anticipated response in the midlatitude pattern to developing El Nio conditions across the equatorial Pacific. Odds favor near-normal precipitation during this period. Sustained Winds. Predicting drought in Texas depends on the ability to forecast precipitation and temperature within the context of complex climate interactions. Precipitation was 150% to 200% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 95% to 98% of past conditions. Southern Plains Drought Status Updates Before sharing sensitive information, make sure youre on a federal government site. There is an 40%50% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period. 33%40% Chance of Below Normal Learn more about these categories. The average maximum temperature was46F colder than normal for this location. In the meantime, your seven-day forecast is below. Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom 5% to 10% of historical values (i.e., only 5%10% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). Learn more about these categories. December 2011. There is an 33%40% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. 01F Above Normal This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Get regional drought status updates right to your inbox, as well as drought news, webinars, and other events for the Southern Plains. >8F Above Normal Percent area of Texas that is currently in drought (D1D4), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Fire danger will be elevated each afternoon along and west of I-35 where hot, dry and breezy conditions will occur. This map shows the probability (percent chance) of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal precipitation 8 to 14 days in the future. Learn more about these categories. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between -1.2 to -0.8, indicating moderate drought (D1) conditions. Nearly the entire state is in a prolonged drought, with an estimated 26 million Texans living in worsening conditions. Aviation Weather. Precipitation was 150% to 200% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. 200%300% of Normal In the hot summer months, a location can flip from normal conditions to drought very quickly. The Climate Explorer offers graphs and maps of observed and projected temperature, precipitation, and related climate variables for every county in the contiguous United States, helping people asse. Now, some Texas cities, water districts, and companies are considering the . Weather Forecast Office. There is an 40%50% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period. 50%60% Chance of Above Normal The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between -0.7 to -0.5, indicating abnormally dry (D0) conditions. There is an 33%40% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period. 40%50% Chance of Above Normal The U.S. Drought Monitor depicts the location and intensity of drought across the country. Negative values (blue hues) indicate colder than normal temperatures, and positive values (red hues) indicate warmer than normal temperatures. NIDIS supports drought research through advancing the scientific understanding of the mechanisms that lead to drought as well as improving the coordination and delivery of drought information. Sometimes, the map is adjusted on the last day of the month to maintain consistency with the Monthly Drought Outlook. D1 (PMDI of -2.9 to -2.0) . No Change According to these indices, current conditions are drier than 95% to 98% of past conditions. 16.9% since last week 33rd wettest May on record (since 1895) 4.2 in. Estimated streamflow is in the 25th75th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Learn more. The PMDI value for this location is 3.0 to 3.9, indicating severe wet (W2) conditions. 90th95th Percentile D4 Exceptional Drought There is an 70%80% chanceof above-normal temperatures during this period. Climate change, combined with a severe drought and La Nia . Much Below Normal ( This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. There is an 33%40% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period. 33%40% Chance of Above Normal Learn more. There is an 50%60% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period. 40%50% Chance of Below Normal Get Involved: Submit Local Drought Impacts, Link to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's homepage, Browse by Regional Drought Early Warning System (DEWS), This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Outlooks; Submit a Storm Report > Weather Briefing; . 5th10th Percentile Drought Maps. Exceptional Wet (98th100th Percentile) drought increased for the fourth . During this time period, drought is forecast to improve. The U.S. Drought Monitor 1-week change map shows where drought has improved, remained the same,or worsened since the previous week's Drought Monitor. 6070F During this time period, drought is forecast to persist. Record Low This map shows the average maximum daily temperature for the past 30 days compared to the historical average (19912020) for the same 30 days. Estimated streamflow is in the 90th100th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Learn more. The PMDI value for this location is -4.9 to -4.0, indicating extreme drought (D3) conditions. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between 8090F. As Texas drought worsens, is there any relief in sight? - FOX 26 Houston Published March 30, 2022 at 11:00 AM CDT U.S. Drought Monitor / The latest drought map for conditions as of March 2022 shows some contraction and easing of drought in the Panhandle and East. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 95th to 98th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. 98th100th Percentile The Palmer Index is most effective in determining long term drought, a matter of several month, and is not as good with short-term forecasts (a matter of weeks). This map shows precipitation for the past 60 days as a percentage of the historical average (19912020) for the same time period. The average maximum temperature was 01F warmer than normal for this location. Estimated streamflow is the lowest value recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Learn more. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is2.0 or greater, indicating exceptional wet (W4) conditions. Estimated streamflow is the lowest value recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. D0 - Abnormally Dry There is an 40%50% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period. 50%60% Chance of Above Normal 1020F Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. Soil moisture data are updated daily, with a 1-day delay due to differences in network report timing. SJT RSS Feed The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between2030F. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between010F. Map of Texas drought conditions on April 14, 2022. The Long-Term MIDI approximatesdrought impacts from changes in precipitation and moistureover a long-term timeframe (up to 5 years), such as impacts to irrigated agriculture, groundwater, and reservoir levels. There is an 80%90% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. Drought/dryness has worsened by 1 category, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. There is an 70%80% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. There is an 50%60% chanceof below-normal precipitation during this period. Hot weather returns next week with triple digit high temperatures This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. The data cutoff for Drought Monitor maps is each Tuesday at 8 a.m. EDT. 68F Above Normal The average maximum temperature was01F colder than normal for this location. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between90100F. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. The U.S. Drought Monitor depicts the location and intensity of drought across the country, using 5 classifications (D0D4). Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 2nd to 5th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. Extreme Wet (95th98th Percentile) At any given time, part of the region may be in drought while another is experiencing flooding rains. According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 80% to 90% of past conditions. View typical impacts by state. Location Drought Level; Abbott : Abnormally Dry: Abilene/Dyess AFB : Abnormally Dry: Abilene : Negative values (. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure youre on a federal government site. W3 (PMDI of 5.0 or greater) Due to a university-wide security update, our site's interaction with external pages and images might be affected. There is an 80%90% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. Texas drought reaches 10-year peak, Austin heat reaches July record Red hues indicate drier conditions, while blue hues indicate wetter conditions. 34F Above Normal Fort Worth/Dallas, TX - National Weather Service When the tax credit-financed project originated in April 2021, construction costs were $110,000 per unit; by the time Viento closed in December 2022, those costs jumped to $151,000 per unit . 2-Category Degradation This experimental subseasonal EDDI forecast shows projected evaporative demand for the next 28 days from the CFS-gridMET dataset at 4-km gridded resolution. Example video title will go here for this video. Understanding these teleconnections can help in forecasting droughts, floods, tropical storms, and hurricanes, Advancing Drought Early Warning through Interdisciplinary Research, National Coordinated Soil Moisture Monitoring Network, NIDIS Drought and Wildland Fire Nexus (NDAWN), National Weather Service Drought Information Statements, CPC Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks, CPC Soil Moisture Outlooks - Monthly and Seasonal, International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society | Seasonal Climate Forecasts, National Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook, NOAA Climate Prediction Center | Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks, NOAA Climate Prediction Center | Global Forecast System (GFS) Soil Moisture Anomaly, NOAA Climate Prediction Center | U.S. Estimated streamflow is in the 90th100th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. A drought early warning system (DEWS) utilizes new and existing networks of federal, tribal, state, local, and academic partners to make climate and drought science accessible and useful for decision makers and stakeholders. There is an 80%90% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period. 70%80% Chance of Below Normal This week's drought map shows the largest area of the state in drought since January 2012, when 99.5% of Texas was in drought. During this time period, drought development is forecast. There is a >90% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period. 80%90% Chance of Below Normal SPI captures how observed precipitation (rain, hail, snow) deviates from the climatological average over a given time periodin this case, over the 9 months leading up to the selected date. This map shows the amount of liquid precipitation (in inches) expected to fall over the next 7 days, according to the National Weather Service. Severe Wet (5th10th Percentile) Drought/dryness has improved by 3 categories, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Tell us how drought is impacting your community by submitting a condition monitoring report. D1 (SPI of -1.2 to -0.8) The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between 1.6 to 1.9, indicating extreme wet (W3) conditions. There is a >90% chanceof below-normal precipitation during this period. There is an 60%70% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. Abnormally Dry (20th30th Percentile) Precipitation was 200% to 300% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. Below Normal (10th25th Percentile) High pressure systems, which hinder cloud formation and lead to low relative humidity and precipitation, can cause drought. There is an 80%90% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period. 70%80% Chance of Below Normal Compared to "normal" conditions, evaporative demand is forecast to be greater than 70%to 80% of historical values. Farther east, moderate to heavy rains may fall on and near the Gulf and Southeast Coasts, and a few areas scattered across northern Pennsylvania, central and northeastern New York, and western New England. San Angelo, TX - National Weather Service Exceptional Drought Due to differences in observed conditions and statistical models, reliable forecasts for temperate regions may not be attainable for a season or more in advance(, Anomalies in precipitation and temperature may last from several months to several decades, and how long they last can depend on airsea interactions, soil moisture, land surface processes, topography, and weather systems at the global scale(, Teleconnections, such as ENSO and La Nia events, are atmospheric interactions between widely separated regions. West Texas farmers and ranchers fear the worst as drought, heat near Estimated streamflow is in the 10th25th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Estimated streamflow is the highest value ever measured at this gauge on this day of the year. Learn more. During this time period, drought development is forecast. Green hues indicate conditions improved, while yellow/orange hues indicate degradations. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Odds slightly favor drier-than-normal weather in the northern Intermountain West, the Great Basin, much of Oregon and adjacent California, the southern High Plains, most of the central and southern Great Plains, the middle and lower Mississippi Valley, the lower Ohio Valley, the Tennessee Valley, the Southeast, and the South Atlantic Coastal Plain from northern Florida into North Carolina. An official website of the United States government. Abnormally Dry (D0) indicates a region that is going into or coming out of drought. 02nd Percentile According to these indices, current conditions are drier than, This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Estimated streamflow is in the 010th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. D4 (PMDI of -5.0 or less) The Monthly Drought Outlook predicts whether drought will develop, remain, improve, or be removed in the next calendar month. Data are available monthly from 1895present. Current Map | U.S. Drought Monitor Stacker cited data from U.S. Drought Monitor to identify the counties in Texas with the worst droughts in the week leading up to July 05, 2023. D3 Extreme Drought There is an 50%60% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period. 60%70% Chance of Above Normal Drought/dryness has improved by 3 categories, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. This week's drought map shows the largest area of the state in drought since January 2012, when 99.5% of Texas was in drought, according to the Austin American-Statesman. Drought/dryness has worsened by 3 categories, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. This map is released every Thursday morning, with data valid through Tuesday at 7am Eastern. Water Data For Texas The average maximum temperature was 68F warmer than normal for this location. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 2nd to 5th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 70% to 80% of past conditions. The PMDI value for this location is -4.9 to -4.0, indicating extreme drought (D3) conditions. Date. Green/blue shades indicate above-normal precipitation, while brown shades indicate below-normal precipitation. Precipitation was 25% to 50% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. 50%75% of Normal River & Lake Levels. West Texas is especially prone to drought or even megadrought conditions, according to the report. Red hues indicate drier conditions, while blue hues indicate wetter conditions. According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 80% to 90% of past conditions. Learn more about these categories.
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